Notes

Chart

Bearish bias in XAUUSD

XAUUSD

XAUUSD hourly trend. The gold line is where similar trends closed next.

The XAUUSD session concluded with a latest close at 3929.540000. During the preceding 48-hour period, the market recorded a bearish trend resulting in a change of -1.28%.

A search for historical periods with similar price movement identified 33 matches. Out of these occurrences, 20 sessions finished with a lower bias, representing a 61% share of the total sample.

In these historical instances, the average gain during bullish outcomes was 0.36%, while the average loss during bearish outcomes was -0.59%. The average move across all 33 periods was -0.22%.

The sample size of 33 matches provides a baseline for evaluating the average move. A larger distribution of historical data points often stabilizes the mean, indicating how frequently the bearish bias outperformed the bullish sessions.

The numbers

Symbol Last 48h move Setups Bullish Bearish Avg. next 20h
XAUUSD 3929.54 -1.28 % 33 13 20 -0.22 %

This is not financial advice. It is an indicator based on statistics from historical data.